NASCAR at Phoenix odds, picks 2019: Model says Clint Bowyer surprises at TicketGuardian 500

The green flag drops for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 at ISM Raceway in suburban Phoenix on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. Following an electric start to the season at Daytona and 2 fast 1.5-mile paths in Atlanta and Las Vegas, Phoenix is the Monster Energy NASCAR cup series’ first race at the tighter quarters of this one-mile loop in ISM Raceway. Kevin Harvick has won four of the previous five March races in this track and will be the 9-4 preferred to accumulate another win in the latest 2019 TicketGuardian 500 odds. Fellow veteran and Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin is becoming 16-1, while Kurt Busch reaches 30-1 NASCAR in Phoenix chances after a strong start to his season that has him at eighth in the NASCAR standings. Before you make your 2019 TicketGuardian 500 picks, make sure you check at the NASCAR at Phoenix projected leaderboard in the SportsLine Projection Model.

Produced by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive information scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track record and recent results into consideration.

It made some huge calls in NASCAR last year, such as properly projecting wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. at Sonoma. Plus it’s off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a top-four contender and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers at last week’s Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its own projected top . Anybody who has followed its selections is far up.

Grew up around race tracks. Big events at venues like ISM Raceway are in his blood. His model has now simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For your 2019 TicketGuardian 500, we could tell you that the model is top on Clint Bowyer, who makes a strong run in the checkered flag despite heading off as a long shot at 25-1 NASCAR odds. He is a goal for anyone looking for a payday.

Bowyer struck a five-season drought without a win and went on to catch a pair of victories at Martinsville and Michigan on the way to a 12th-place finish in the NASCAR Playoffs. This season, he’s added a top-five complete at Atlanta and has shown remarkable speed at times. Bowyer has seven career top-10s at Phoenix and won a truck series race at this track in 2010.

Bowyer, who pushes for Stewart-Haas Racing, was also second in among this year’s Daytona Duels and closed out last year’s NASCAR schedule using an eight-place ending at Homestead. He will also come equipped into the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 using a similar car setup to teammates Harvick and Aric Almirola.

One of those shocking 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix picks from the model: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner in ISM Raceway along with the very best Vegas favourite, makes a strong run but falls short of winning it all.

Harvick has made a career out of getting to the front of the package consistently at this particular track. In Reality, He’s finished in the top 10 in 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway

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