NASCAR at Richmond odds, picks 2019: Model says Kyle Larson surprises at Toyota Owners 400

For the first time this year, NASCAR will be under the lights if the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday in Richmond Raceway. Kyle Busch enters 2019 NASCAR at Richmond as the leader in the NASCAR Monster Energy Cup standings with 361 points. He’s searching for his fourth win of this year along with also the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 odds provide him a 9-4 chance to receive it starts in fifth place after qualifying. Kevin Harvick had the quickest pace in qualifying at 124.29 MPH, giving him the pole position. His NASCAR at Richmond chances have moved from 7-1 to 9-2. Martin Truex Jr. (6-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Brad Keselowski (10-1) are one of the other leading contenders at this .75-mile brief track. Before bending in any 2019 Toyota Owners 400 selections of your own, first be sure to check out the NASCAR predictions in the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track record and recent results into consideration.

The model is off to a solid start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a top-four competition from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano at its projected top . Additionally, it nailed Busch’s huge win at Bristol last week. Anybody who has followed its selections is far up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic places like Richmond Raceway are in his blood. His model simulated the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For NASCAR at Richmond 2019we could tell you that the version is high on Kyle Larson, making a strong run at taking the checkered flag despite heading off at 25-1 NASCAR at Richmond odds.

Larson’s average finish at Richmond is 9.7, which is that the third-best among active drivers. He has finished seventh or better in four of his last five events at Richmond and won the Richmond fall race in 2017. He will start in 14th place after a slightly slower than expected qualifying period of 123.54 MPH. But he posted the fastest lap (121.70 MPH) at the first practice session on Friday, so he’s revealed the rate needed to climb the NASCAR in Richmond leaderboard on Saturday evening.

And a massive shocker: Truex Jr., among the top Vegas favorites in 6-1, does not crack the top five. There are far better values in a loaded 2019 NASCAR in Richmond lineup.

The 39-year-old veteran is sitting in the standings, but he is tapered off lately. Truex finished 12th at Texas Motor Speedway and then struggled last week at Bristol, finishing 17th. In his career, Truex has not fared well at Richmond Raceway either. In reality, he’s finished in the top five just three times in 26 career starts at the monitor.

The version can also be targeting two other drivers using 2019 Toyota Owners 400 chances of 20-1 or even more time to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs these lengthy shots can hit it big.

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