BIG MARLEY’S UFC FIGHT NIGHT 132 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This week, we’ve got a Fight Pass card in Singapore. Since it’s in Singapore, we have to wake up at 4:30am ET to see it live. I’ve already set the alarm and that I will be up prepared to sweat these early fights. DraftKings does not have many large tournaments this week so I will personally be playing more money games and less GPPs. I will still have 3 GPP lineups but most of my investment this week will be in cash games. But, There’s still money to be won so here are a few plays I enjoy and my fade of this week:
Money Game play of the week — Stack, Leon Edwards ($8,600) AND Donald Cerrone ($7,600)
Donald”Cowboy” Cerrone is not in a boring fight. Whether he wins or loses, his fights generally score as a whole along with also the winner almost always pays off their cost in DraftKings. I usually search for at least 100 total points should I stack a struggle in money and I think for this being a possible 5-rounds, it should assess well over that. If Edwards win this battle, it’s likely an early KO, and if this happens he’ll score quite high. If Cerrone wins, he could lock up a entry or a knockout which will readily 10x his cost of $7.6k. But in any event, you have the winner at your lineup and the ensured 30-90 win bonus points if you do stack. I think this battle is going to be fun as long as it lasts and there should be a good number of points added up until these two get finished. If this does go 5 rounds, these two should nevertheless get over 100 total points with the pace Cowboy brings to the table.
GPP drama of the week — Li Jingliang ($9,200)
Li Jingliang constantly puts on a show when he steps in the Octagon. He’s a quick pace fighter that scores very well on DraftKings when he wins. I think he must be the fighter wherever this fight ends up against Abe. In addition, I believe he could complete this fight on the feet or the ground and if that happens he would probably pay off his high price tag of $9.2k. He’s the 3rd most expensive fighter on the card and I believe he’s the highest ceiling. That’s what we want in GPPs is a high ceiling, so that is the reason why Jingliang is my GPP play of the week.
Underdog play of the week — Song Yadong ($7,900)
Song Yadong is my favorite DraftKings”underdog” this week. His betting line has changed to him being a slight favorite at -120 but he’s $400 cheaper than his opponent. I believe saving that $400 is a good transfer in cash or GPP games therefore I like Yadong in most formats. I think Yadong will seem to maintain this fight on the feet and hunt for this KO win. If he does get the win, I think he must easily pay off that price tag and receive at least 10x.
Fade of the week — Viviane Pereira ($8,800)
My primary difficulty with Pereira is that she’s too pricey. At $8.8k, I want at least 88 points from her and I think she needs get a finish to do that. I really don’t see that happening and neither does Vegas using a +617 ITD line. She doesn’t strike a high enough pace or land sufficient takedowns to score 88 points in my personal opinion. In her 2 UFC wins she held her opponent against the fence to get a fantastic portion of the struggle and no issues have been scored when that occurs. If she does that again , there’s absolutely no way she even comes close to 88 points even with a win. I have a complete fade on Pereira this week and that I will pay up for different favorites instead.
If you’d like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown with analysis on each struggle, my personal approaches & recommendations, and my selection prediction for every single struggle then you can discover that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
https://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks

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