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NASCAR at Phoenix betting odds, props, key stats to help bettors win TicketGuardian 500

After back-to-back Team Penske wins, NASCAR heads to ISM Raceway’s one-mile flat track in Phoenix for the fourth race of the season.

Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano are driving streaks of eight top-12 endings dating back to last year, but both motorists are going to take a backseat to the recent dominating performances of Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch at Phoenix.

Harvick (9/4) and Busch (7/2) have the shortest odds to win Sunday’s TicketGuardian 500 and both won at the track last season. This weekend, even when Harvick were to triumph, he would join an elite group, becoming only the sixth driver in series history to win 10 or more Cup Series races at a single track; linking Richard Petty, Darrell Waltrip, Jimmie Johnson, David Pearson and Dale Earnhardt.

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In three of the previous four Phoenix races, Busch has headed 359 laps, including 117 in his triumph during last year’s playoffs — the first under the new arrangement of the track.

Phoenix’s track is similar to Richmond and New Hampshire and it is no surprise both Harvick and Busch have had similar success at these racks. Busch has won 2017’s fall race in New Hampshire and the previous two races in Richmond. Harvick won the most-recent race at New Hampshire and has finished in the top five in five of the previous six races in Richmond.

But unlike in these previous races, all drivers will be using a new car setup implemented by NASCAR, another from what we saw the last fourteen days at Atlanta and Las Vegas. Teams will utilize a tapered spacer — and no aero ducts — for the first time. They’ll use a 750-horsepower engine at Phoenix instead of their 550-horsepower engine in Vegas. NASCAR hopes to find a car. The new package could close the gap Harvick and Busch have experienced on the area.

So much in two races with NASCAR differing rules bundle, Ford has led 65 percent of the laps and contains five stage wins. Ford motorist Aric Almirola, Harvick’s teammate, will soon be a sleeper motorist. He was third at New Hampshire’s similar design final season, fifth at Richmond and fourth last year’s fall race at Phoenix. Almirola is 20/1 to win on Sunday and we like him in a matchup with Kyle Larson at -110.

MORE: How to win betting on NASCAR in 2019

Odds to win 2019 TicketGuardian 500 at Phoenix

Odds Supplied by Westgate LV SuperBook

Kevin HARVICK 9/4
Kyle BUSCH 7/2
Joey LOGANO 8/1
Martin TRUEX JR 10/1
Chase ELLIOTT 10/1
Denny HAMLIN 15/1
Kyle LARSON 20/1
Aric ALMIROLA 20/1
Clint BOWYER 25/1
Erik JONES 25/1
Kurt BUSCH 30/1
Ryan BLANEY 30/1
Jimmie JOHNSON 50/1
Austin DILLON 50/1
Alex BOWMAN 50/1
Daniel SUAREZ 60/1
Ryan NEWMAN 100/1
William BYRON 100/1
Daniel HEMRIC 100/1
Paul MENARD 100/1
Ryan PREECE 200/1
Chris BUESCHER 200/1
Darrell WALLACE JR 500/1
Ty DILLON 1000/1
Michael McDOWELL 2000/1
David RAGAN 2000/1
FIELD (all others) 500/1

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