NASCAR at Phoenix odds, picks 2019: Model says Clint Bowyer surprises at TicketGuardian 500

The green flag drops for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 at ISM Raceway in suburban Phoenix on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. Following an electric start to the season at Daytona and 2 quick 1.5-mile paths in Atlanta and Las Vegas, Phoenix is the Monster Energy NASCAR cup series’ first race in the tighter quarters of this one-mile loop at ISM Raceway. Kevin Harvick has won four of the last five March races at this track and will be the 9-4 favorite to collect another win in the latest 2019 TicketGuardian 500 chances. Fellow veteran and Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin is becoming 16-1, while Kurt Busch is at 30-1 NASCAR in Phoenix chances after a solid start to his period that has him eighth in the NASCAR standings. Before you make your 2019 TicketGuardian 500 picks, be sure to check at the NASCAR at Phoenix projected leaderboard from the SportsLine Projection Model.

Produced by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track record and current results into account.

It made some huge calls in NASCAR this past year, including correctly projecting wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. And it is off to a strong start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a top-four contender and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers in last week’s Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its projected top five. Is way up.

Grew up around race tracks. Events in iconic venues like ISM Raceway have been in his bloodstream. His version has simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For your 2019 TicketGuardian 500, we could tell you that the model is top on Clint Bowyer, who makes a strong run in the checkered flag despite going off as a very long shot at 25-1 NASCAR chances. He’s a goal for anyone searching for a massive payday.

Bowyer broke a five-season drought without a win and proceeded to grab a pair of victories at Martinsville and Michigan on the way to some 12th-place finish in the NASCAR Playoffs. This season, he’s added a top-five finish at Atlanta and has shown impressive speed at times. Bowyer has seven career top-10s in Phoenix and won a truck series race at this track in 2010.

Bowyer, who drives for Stewart-Haas Racing, was also second in one of the year’s Daytona Duels and shut out a year’s NASCAR schedule using an eight-place ending at Homestead. He will also come equipped to the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 using a similar car set up to teammates Harvick and Aric Almirola.

Among the shocking 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix picks from the version: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner in ISM Raceway along with the top Vegas favorite, makes a strong run but falls short of winning everything.

Harvick has made a career from getting to the front of the package consistently at this track. In Reality, he has finished in the top 10 in 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway

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